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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

LEWES vs. AFC HORNCHURCH
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Lewes's and AFC Hornchurch's ELO scores.


  Lewes   AFC Hornchurch  
  Current ELO Score: 2899.8   3088.7  
  Best ELO Score: 3278.9  
Saturday, January 5, 2008  
3208.3  
Saturday, October 23, 2004  
  Worst ELO Score: 2700.6  
Saturday, December 5, 2015  
2758.9  
Tuesday, August 21, 2007  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Lewes and AFC Hornchurch.

 Venue Played Lewes
wins
Draws AFC Hornchurch
wins
Lewes
goals
AFC Hornchurch
goals
Lewes
SR%
AFC Hornchurch
SR%
 TOTAL 17 3 7 7 22 31 38.2% 61.8%
 HOME 9 0 5 4 9 20 27.8% 72.2%
 AWAY 8 3 2 3 13 11 50.0% 50.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
29 DEC 2023 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(3088)  
1 - 1   Lewes
  (2936)
5
26 AUG 2023 CONF Lewes  
(3001)  
2 - 2   AFC Hornchurch
  (3021)
0.5
4 MAR 2023 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(3040)  
2 - 2   Lewes
  (2932)
3.9
25 OCT 2022 CONF Lewes  
(2903)  
2 - 2   AFC Hornchurch
  (3041)
2.8
29 JAN 2022 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(2978)  
3 - 1   Lewes
  (2903)
10.2
25 SEP 2021 CONF Lewes  
(2807)  
1 - 3   AFC Hornchurch
  (2925)
11.6
12 FEB 2020 CONF Lewes  
(2758)  
0 - 0   AFC Hornchurch
  (2947)
4.1
27 APR 2019 CONF Lewes  
(2842)  
0 - 0   AFC Hornchurch
  (2834)
1.4
16 OCT 2018 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(2862)  
1 - 5   Lewes
  (2796)
24.3
17 MAR 2015 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(2898)  
0 - 1   Lewes
  (2832)
13
13 AUG 2014 CONF Lewes  
(2834)  
2 - 2   AFC Hornchurch
  (2987)
3.1
12 MAR 2014 CONF Lewes  
(2906)  
1 - 5   AFC Hornchurch
  (3011)
15.3
10 AUG 2013 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(3015)  
0 - 1   Lewes
  (2841)
15.5
18 FEB 2012 CONF AFC Hornchurch  
(2991)  
1 - 0   Lewes
  (2925)
6.9
29 OCT 2011 CONF Lewes  
(2999)  
0 - 4   AFC Hornchurch
  (2963)
23.1
5 FEB 2005 CONF Hornchurch  
(3130)  
3 - 2   Lewes
  (3170)
9.4
23 OCT 2004 CONF Lewes  
(3130)  
1 - 2   Hornchurch
  (3198)
9.8